Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Richmond Tigers v St Kilda Saints

Kickoff: 2026-09-13 03:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

Richmond Tigers (Local)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -61.35%
Kelly -158.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.77%0.00%0.00%61.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.581.571.6365.36%63.37%63.69%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

St Kilda Saints (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -40.82%
Kelly -68.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.44%0.00%0.00%42.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.232.332.332.4544.84%42.84%43.01%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Richmond Tigers (Local): 0.00%; St Kilda Saints (Visit): 0.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
TABtouch🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%6.2%2026-09-13 02:30
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%6.2%2026-09-13 02:30
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%6.0%2026-09-13 01:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%6.0%2026-09-13 01:15
Dabble (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%6.2%2026-09-12 23:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%7.2%2026-09-13 00:00
SportsBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%6.1%2026-09-13 02:29
Bet Right🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%6.7%2026-09-13 00:00
TAB🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%6.2%2026-09-13 01:15
PlayUp🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%6.2%2026-09-13 02:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%4.0%2026-09-13 03:00