Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Richmond Tigers v Geelong Cats

Kickoff: 2026-10-02 09:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

Richmond Tigers (Local)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -10.00%
Kelly -11.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 10.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.42%0.00%0.00%12.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.508.568.5010.0013.33%11.69%11.76%10.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Geelong Cats (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -92.59%
Kelly -1250.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
87.41%0.00%0.00%90.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.041.061.051.0896.15%94.64%95.24%92.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Richmond Tigers (Local): 0.00%; Geelong Cats (Visit): 0.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%6.2%2026-10-02 09:13
Dabble (AU)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%6.3%2026-10-02 02:10
Neds🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%6.1%2026-10-02 07:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%6.1%2026-10-02 07:59
TABtouch🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%7.0%2026-10-02 06:35
Unibet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%7.0%2026-10-02 06:35
Betr (AU)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%7.0%2026-10-02 02:30
TAB🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%6.0%2026-09-28 01:45
Bet Right🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%5.9%2026-10-02 08:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎12.00I 8.33%NM 8.12%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.88%2.7%2026-10-02 09:10