Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.75
assuming max odds 1.38
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Richmond Tigers (Local): 0.00%; Fremantle Dockers (Visit): 0.00%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85% | 6.0% | 2026-09-06 01:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 02:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77% | 5.9% | 2026-09-06 02:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77% | 5.9% | 2026-09-06 02:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43% | 6.1% | 2026-09-06 02:25 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43% | 6.1% | 2026-09-05 23:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31% | 6.9% | 2026-09-06 02:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 02:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13% | 6.4% | 2026-09-06 02:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76% | 6.9% | 2026-09-06 01:09 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.37% | 9.7% | 2026-09-06 02:05 |