The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Richmond Tigers v Collingwood Magpies

Kickoff: 2026-08-15 07:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

Richmond Tigers (Local)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -57.14%
Kelly -133.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.83%0.00%0.00%59.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.681.681.7563.29%59.49%59.52%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Collingwood Magpies (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -42.55%
Kelly -74.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.20%0.00%0.00%46.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.132.152.3550.00%46.88%46.51%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Richmond Tigers (Local): 0.00%; Collingwood Magpies (Visit): 0.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
TABtouch🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%6.2%2026-08-15 00:34
Unibet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%6.2%2026-08-15 00:35
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%5.8%2026-08-15 03:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%8.8%2026-08-15 06:59
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%6.0%2026-08-15 06:54
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%6.0%2026-08-15 03:34
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%6.1%2026-08-15 03:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%7.1%2026-08-15 07:04
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%7.1%2026-08-15 07:04
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%5.8%2026-08-15 06:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%4.5%2026-08-15 06:59