Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Port Adelaide Power v Sydney Swans

Kickoff: 2026-09-19 04:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

Port Adelaide Power (Local)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -29.41%
Kelly -41.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.66%0.00%0.00%30.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.193.183.4032.26%31.33%31.45%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sydney Swans (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -74.63%
Kelly -294.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.82%0.00%0.00%72.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.331.341.3476.92%75.06%74.63%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Port Adelaide Power (Local): 0.00%; Sydney Swans (Visit): 0.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
TAB🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%6.3%2026-09-16 00:05
Neds🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%6.0%2026-09-16 22:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%6.0%2026-09-16 22:40
Dabble (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%6.4%2026-09-17 12:44
SportsBet🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 29.65%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.35%6.1%2026-09-17 08:55
Bet Right🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%6.4%2026-09-18 09:00
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%6.9%2026-09-18 05:05
TABtouch🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%6.9%2026-09-18 05:05
Betr (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%6.9%2026-09-18 05:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%1.29I 77.52%NM 70.28%10.3%2026-09-18 08:10