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Port Adelaide Power v Hawthorn Hawks

Kickoff: 2026-08-23 07:20 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

Port Adelaide Power (Local)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -70.42%
Kelly -238.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.35%0.00%0.00%67.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.401.401.4272.46%71.48%71.43%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hawthorn Hawks (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -33.90%
Kelly -51.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.18%0.00%0.00%33.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.882.902.9535.71%34.76%34.48%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Port Adelaide Power (Local): 0.00%; Hawthorn Hawks (Visit): 0.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%6.1%2026-08-23 03:14
Unibet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%6.6%2026-08-23 06:15
TABtouch🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%6.6%2026-08-23 06:15
Bet Right🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%5.3%2026-08-23 07:09
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%5.3%2026-08-23 00:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%5.3%2026-08-23 00:25
TAB🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%5.9%2026-08-23 06:55
SportsBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.75%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.25%6.2%2026-08-23 00:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%6.9%2026-08-23 06:20
Dabble (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%8.2%2026-08-22 09:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%2.8%2026-08-23 07:15