Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Port Adelaide Power v Gold Coast Suns

Kickoff: 2026-09-05 04:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

Port Adelaide Power (Local)

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -72.99%
Kelly -270.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.65%0.00%0.00%73.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.321.311.3776.92%75.59%76.05%72.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Gold Coast Suns (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -28.17%
Kelly -39.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.80%0.00%0.00%31.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.283.333.5533.33%30.44%30.08%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Port Adelaide Power (Local): 0.00%; Gold Coast Suns (Visit): 0.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%6.3%2026-09-01 23:45
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%6.9%2026-09-01 23:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%6.9%2026-09-03 15:05
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%6.0%2026-09-03 09:20
Dabble (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%6.0%2026-09-04 01:10
Bet Right🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%5.1%2026-09-03 12:29
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%5.9%2026-09-02 01:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%5.9%2026-09-02 01:54
TAB🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%6.3%2026-09-03 09:45
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%6.3%2026-09-02 01:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 70.75%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.25%14.0%2026-09-04 10:30