Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.06
assuming max odds 12.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: North Melbourne Kangaroos (Local): 0.00%; Carlton Blues (Visit): 0.00%.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09% | 6.1% | 2026-09-13 00:19 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45% | 6.3% | 2026-09-08 08:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87% | 6.7% | 2026-09-12 23:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87% | 6.7% | 2026-09-12 23:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56% | 6.2% | 2026-09-13 05:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56% | 6.2% | 2026-09-13 05:01 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56% | 6.2% | 2026-09-13 05:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 04:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83% | 6.4% | 2026-09-13 02:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83% | 6.4% | 2026-09-13 02:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71% | 4.3% | 2026-09-13 05:00 |