Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Melbourne Demons v Port Adelaide Power

Kickoff: 2026-09-13 02:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

Melbourne Demons (Local)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -95.24%
Kelly -2000.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
90.05%0.00%0.00%93.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.031.031.0599.01%97.18%97.09%95.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Port Adelaide Power (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -6.67%
Kelly -7.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 15.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.31%0.00%0.00%9.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.5011.1511.0015.0010.53%8.97%9.09%6.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Melbourne Demons (Local): 0.00%; Port Adelaide Power (Visit): 0.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bet Right🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%5.8%2026-09-13 02:25
SportsBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%6.2%2026-09-13 00:25
Neds🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%6.2%2026-09-13 02:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%6.2%2026-09-13 02:20
TAB🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%6.2%2026-09-13 02:30
TABtouch🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%6.6%2026-09-13 02:30
Unibet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%6.6%2026-09-13 02:30
PlayUp🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%6.4%2026-09-13 02:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%7.1%2026-09-13 02:15
Dabble (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%5.7%2026-09-12 23:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%0.9%2026-09-13 02:30