Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Melbourne Demons v North Melbourne Kangaroos

Kickoff: 2026-09-25 09:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

Melbourne Demons (Local)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -35.59%
Kelly -55.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.57%0.00%0.00%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.692.702.8139.22%37.17%37.04%35.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

North Melbourne Kangaroos (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -66.67%
Kelly -200.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.96%0.00%0.00%66.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.451.441.5070.42%68.97%69.44%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Melbourne Demons (Local): 0.00%; North Melbourne Kangaroos (Visit): 0.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.57%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.43%6.0%2026-09-25 09:04
Dabble (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%5.8%2026-09-25 08:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%6.8%2026-09-25 09:00
Bet Right🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%6.0%2026-09-25 09:00
TAB🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%6.0%2026-09-25 08:43
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%6.5%2026-09-25 09:10
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%7.0%2026-09-25 09:10
Neds🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%5.9%2026-09-25 08:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%5.9%2026-09-25 08:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%0.6%2026-09-25 09:10