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Melbourne Demons v GWS GIANTS

Kickoff: 2026-08-23 04:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

Melbourne Demons (Local)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -94.34%
Kelly -1666.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
88.91%0.00%0.00%92.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.021.031.031.0698.04%96.90%97.09%94.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

GWS GIANTS (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -8.33%
Kelly -9.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 12.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.83%0.00%0.00%11.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.5010.8511.0012.0011.76%9.22%9.09%8.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Melbourne Demons (Local): 0.00%; GWS GIANTS (Visit): 0.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
TAB🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%6.1%2026-08-23 04:14
Bet Right🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%5.2%2026-08-23 00:35
Neds🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%5.8%2026-08-23 00:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%5.8%2026-08-23 00:25
SportsBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%6.2%2026-08-23 04:04
PlayUp🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%6.2%2026-08-23 03:14
Dabble (AU)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%7.1%2026-08-19 09:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%7.1%2026-08-21 18:09
Unibet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%6.4%2026-08-23 01:49
TABtouch🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%6.4%2026-08-23 01:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.03I 97.09%NM 69.97%2.40I 41.67%NM 30.03%38.8%2026-08-23 04:20