Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hawthorn Hawks v North Melbourne Kangaroos

Kickoff: 2026-09-18 07:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

Hawthorn Hawks (Local)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -7.69%
Kelly -8.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 13.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.28%0.00%0.00%10.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.2510.369.7513.0010.81%9.65%10.26%7.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

North Melbourne Kangaroos (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -95.24%
Kelly -2000.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
89.89%0.00%0.00%92.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.021.041.041.0598.04%96.46%96.15%95.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hawthorn Hawks (Local): 0.00%; North Melbourne Kangaroos (Visit): 0.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Dabble (AU)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%3.8%2026-09-18 06:30
SportsBet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%5.7%2026-09-18 06:05
Bet Right🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%6.2%2026-09-18 01:34
Neds🎯9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.36%6.4%2026-09-16 22:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.36%6.4%2026-09-16 22:35
TAB🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%5.8%2026-09-14 05:54
TABtouch🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%7.6%2026-09-18 06:50
Unibet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%7.6%2026-09-18 06:50
Betr (AU)🎯9.25I 10.81%NM 10.11%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.89%7.0%2026-09-18 01:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎13.50I 7.41%NM 7.28%1.06I 94.34%NM 92.72%1.7%2026-09-18 07:40