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Hawthorn Hawks v Melbourne Demons
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hawthorn Hawks (Local)
assuming max odds 4.00
Melbourne Demons (Visit)
assuming max odds 1.27
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hawthorn Hawks (Local): 0.00%; Melbourne Demons (Visit): 0.00%.
Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TAB🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34% | 5.6% | 2026-08-13 09:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58% | 5.0% | 2026-08-13 08:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25% | 6.3% | 2026-08-13 08:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25% | 6.3% | 2026-08-13 08:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85% | 6.0% | 2026-08-13 07:55 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85% | 6.0% | 2026-08-13 06:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45% | 5.8% | 2026-08-13 05:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60% | 6.4% | 2026-08-13 04:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60% | 6.4% | 2026-08-13 04:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75% | 7.0% | 2026-08-13 09:04 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 0.6% | 2026-08-13 09:10 |