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Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.10
assuming max odds 8.75
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hawthorn Hawks (Local): 0.00%; Essendon Bombers (Visit): 0.00%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47% | 6.3% | 2026-10-25 04:00 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47% | 6.3% | 2026-10-25 04:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80% | 6.0% | 2026-10-25 03:55 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80% | 6.0% | 2026-10-20 02:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49% | 6.8% | 2026-10-25 03:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49% | 6.8% | 2026-10-25 03:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49% | 6.8% | 2026-10-24 20:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81% | 5.8% | 2026-10-24 22:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81% | 5.8% | 2026-10-24 22:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09% | 6.1% | 2026-10-20 00:15 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.36% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.64% | 4.1% | 2026-10-25 04:00 |