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Hawthorn Hawks v Adelaide Crows
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hawthorn Hawks (Local)
assuming max odds 1.52
Adelaide Crows (Visit)
assuming max odds 2.70
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hawthorn Hawks (Local): 0.00%; Adelaide Crows (Visit): 0.00%.
Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TAB🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 03:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00% | 6.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 00:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 03:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10% | 5.5% | 2026-09-05 23:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10% | 5.5% | 2026-09-05 23:45 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96% | 7.0% | 2026-09-05 23:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94% | 6.0% | 2026-09-06 02:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.98% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.02% | 6.1% | 2026-09-06 01:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 03:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47% | 1.9% | 2026-09-06 03:05 |