Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gold Coast Suns v Western Bulldogs

Kickoff: 2026-08-15 09:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

Gold Coast Suns (Local)

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -22.22%
Kelly -28.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.91%0.00%0.00%26.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.953.804.5027.78%25.32%26.32%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Western Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -78.13%
Kelly -357.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.77%0.00%0.00%79.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.191.241.241.2884.03%80.84%80.65%78.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gold Coast Suns (Local): 0.00%; Western Bulldogs (Visit): 0.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
PlayUp🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%6.3%2026-08-15 07:35
SportsBet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%5.9%2026-08-15 07:19
Dabble (AU)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%5.5%2026-08-15 08:34
Bet Right🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%6.1%2026-08-14 23:09
Unibet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%7.0%2026-08-15 09:09
TABtouch🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%7.0%2026-08-15 09:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%6.4%2026-08-15 01:19
Neds🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%6.4%2026-08-15 01:19
Betr (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%7.0%2026-08-15 07:24
TAB🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%5.9%2026-08-15 09:13
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.38%1.31I 76.34%NM 65.62%16.3%2026-08-15 09:14