Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.60
assuming max odds 1.30
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gold Coast Suns (Local): 0.00%; Melbourne Demons (Visit): 0.00%.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77% | 5.9% | 2026-10-05 05:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34% | 6.3% | 2026-10-05 05:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34% | 6.3% | 2026-10-05 06:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04% | 6.8% | 2026-10-05 06:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04% | 6.8% | 2026-10-05 06:15 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.99% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.01% | 12.3% | 2026-10-05 12:55 |