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Gold Coast Suns v Geelong Cats

Kickoff: 2026-08-30 05:03 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

Gold Coast Suns (Local)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -23.81%
Kelly -31.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.51%0.00%0.00%26.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.823.804.2027.78%26.21%26.32%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Geelong Cats (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -78.13%
Kelly -357.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.77%0.00%0.00%77.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.251.251.2881.97%79.87%79.68%78.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gold Coast Suns (Local): 0.00%; Geelong Cats (Visit): 0.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
TAB🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%5.8%2026-08-30 05:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%6.3%2026-08-27 03:04
Neds🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%6.3%2026-08-27 03:04
Bet Right🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%5.3%2026-08-29 06:50
Unibet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%6.3%2026-08-30 00:14
TABtouch🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%6.3%2026-08-30 00:15
SportsBet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%6.0%2026-08-30 04:45
Dabble (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%6.0%2026-08-28 07:15
PlayUp🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%5.9%2026-08-30 01:20
Betr (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%7.1%2026-08-30 00:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.71%2.8%2026-08-30 05:00