Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Geelong Cats v St Kilda Saints

Kickoff: 2026-08-22 07:02 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

Geelong Cats (Local)

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -70.92%
Kelly -243.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.51%0.00%0.00%72.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.381.381.4176.92%72.41%72.20%70.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

St Kilda Saints (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -29.41%
Kelly -41.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.66%0.00%0.00%33.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.942.923.4035.71%34.00%34.19%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Geelong Cats (Local): 0.00%; St Kilda Saints (Visit): 0.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%6.6%2026-08-21 22:29
TABtouch🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%6.6%2026-08-21 22:29
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%5.9%2026-08-20 21:45
SportsBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.14%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.86%6.4%2026-08-22 06:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%7.0%2026-08-21 18:09
Neds🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%6.4%2026-08-19 08:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%6.4%2026-08-19 08:15
Bet Right🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%6.9%2026-08-22 01:35
Dabble (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%6.9%2026-08-21 07:24
TAB🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%6.3%2026-08-22 06:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 74.70%3.10I 32.26%NM 25.30%27.5%2026-08-22 07:00