Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Geelong Cats v GWS GIANTS

Kickoff: 2026-10-10 06:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

Geelong Cats (Local)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -97.09%
Kelly -3333.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
91.44%0.00%0.00%93.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.031.031.0399.01%97.47%97.09%97.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

GWS GIANTS (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -6.67%
Kelly -7.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 15.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.31%0.00%0.00%8.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
11.0011.8011.0015.009.09%8.47%9.09%6.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Geelong Cats (Local): 0.00%; GWS GIANTS (Visit): 0.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%6.2%2026-10-05 04:40
Bet Right🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%6.2%2026-10-05 06:10
TABtouch🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%6.2%2026-10-05 06:10
Unibet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%6.2%2026-10-05 06:15
TAB🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%5.7%2026-10-05 04:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 90.11%9.20I 10.87%NM 9.89%9.9%2026-10-05 15:05