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Fremantle Dockers v Western Bulldogs

Kickoff: 2026-09-19 05:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

Fremantle Dockers (Local)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -53.19%
Kelly -113.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%0.00%0.00%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.851.851.8855.56%54.09%54.05%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Western Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -50.00%
Kelly -100.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%0.00%0.00%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.881.931.922.0053.19%51.87%52.08%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fremantle Dockers (Local): 0.00%; Western Bulldogs (Visit): 0.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%5.3%2026-09-17 09:21
Neds🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%6.4%2026-09-16 22:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%6.4%2026-09-16 22:40
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%6.1%2026-09-14 06:29
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%6.1%2026-09-14 06:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%6.1%2026-09-17 00:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%7.0%2026-09-17 09:25
Bet Right🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%4.9%2026-09-16 20:40
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%5.6%2026-09-16 10:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 52.81%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.19%12.7%2026-09-18 08:15