Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fremantle Dockers v Port Adelaide Power

Kickoff: 2026-08-16 04:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

Fremantle Dockers (Local)

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -50.00%
Kelly -100.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.09%0.00%0.00%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.921.902.0053.48%52.14%52.49%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Port Adelaide Power (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -52.63%
Kelly -111.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%0.00%0.00%52.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.851.851.9056.18%54.05%54.05%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fremantle Dockers (Local): 0.00%; Port Adelaide Power (Visit): 0.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%5.6%2026-08-16 04:25
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%6.2%2026-08-16 02:14
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%5.3%2026-08-16 04:24
Unibet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%6.4%2026-08-16 04:23
TABtouch🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%6.4%2026-08-15 23:54
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%5.3%2026-08-11 06:50
Dabble (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%6.4%2026-08-12 01:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%6.4%2026-08-14 12:19
Neds🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%6.4%2026-08-14 12:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%8.1%2026-08-16 04:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%3.1%2026-08-16 04:30