Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fremantle Dockers v Carlton Blues

Kickoff: 2026-08-30 07:04 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

Fremantle Dockers (Local)

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -30.30%
Kelly -43.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.57%0.00%0.00%34.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.992.953.3036.36%33.50%33.90%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Carlton Blues (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -70.42%
Kelly -238.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.95%0.00%0.00%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.381.381.4275.76%72.41%72.46%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fremantle Dockers (Local): 0.00%; Carlton Blues (Visit): 0.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%6.1%2026-08-30 06:15
Bet Right🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%4.2%2026-08-30 07:00
TAB🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%5.8%2026-08-30 07:03
Dabble (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%5.8%2026-08-30 01:20
Unibet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%6.4%2026-08-30 01:45
TABtouch🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%6.4%2026-08-30 01:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%5.9%2026-08-30 06:10
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%5.9%2026-08-30 06:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%6.9%2026-08-30 00:49
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%6.8%2026-08-30 03:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%3.8%2026-08-30 07:00