Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.07
assuming max odds 1.42
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Essendon Bombers (Local): 0.00%; Gold Coast Suns (Visit): 0.00%.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 30.70% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.30% | 6.1% | 2026-09-20 02:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16% | 6.3% | 2026-09-19 23:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16% | 6.3% | 2026-09-19 23:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16% | 6.3% | 2026-09-20 03:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44% | 5.9% | 2026-09-20 00:34 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74% | 5.5% | 2026-09-20 01:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22% | 7.0% | 2026-09-20 00:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35% | 6.1% | 2026-09-20 00:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35% | 6.1% | 2026-09-20 00:59 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.18% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.82% | 1.8% | 2026-09-20 03:04 |