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Essendon Bombers v Brisbane Lions
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Essendon Bombers (Local)
assuming max odds 7.75
Brisbane Lions (Visit)
assuming max odds 1.14
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Essendon Bombers (Local): 0.00%; Brisbane Lions (Visit): 0.00%.
Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 12:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 12:24 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21% | 4.2% | 2026-08-15 02:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 01:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 02:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 01:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 01:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 01:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 02:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 02:24 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91% | 3.4% | 2026-08-16 02:35 |