The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Collingwood Magpies v Hawthorn Hawks

Kickoff: 2026-08-30 05:06 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

Collingwood Magpies (Local)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -12.50%
Kelly -14.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 8.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.80%0.00%0.00%15.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.007.107.258.0016.67%14.08%13.79%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hawthorn Hawks (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -90.91%
Kelly -1000.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
84.51%0.00%0.00%88.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.071.081.081.1093.46%92.34%92.59%90.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Collingwood Magpies (Local): 0.00%; Hawthorn Hawks (Visit): 0.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
TAB🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%6.0%2026-08-30 05:04
SportsBet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%5.9%2026-08-30 04:45
Dabble (AU)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%5.9%2026-08-30 01:20
TABtouch🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%6.8%2026-08-30 05:05
Unibet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%6.8%2026-08-30 05:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%6.9%2026-08-27 03:09
Neds🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%6.9%2026-08-27 03:09
Bet Right🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%6.3%2026-08-30 01:54
PlayUp🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%6.3%2026-08-30 03:35
Betr (AU)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%7.6%2026-08-30 04:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11%1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89%0.7%2026-08-30 05:05