Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Collingwood Magpies v GWS GIANTS

Kickoff: 2026-09-27 03:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

Collingwood Magpies (Local)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -49.26%
Kelly -97.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.72%0.00%0.00%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.891.922.0355.56%52.88%52.08%49.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

GWS GIANTS (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -50.00%
Kelly -100.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%0.00%0.00%53.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.891.862.0056.18%52.88%53.76%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Collingwood Magpies (Local): 0.00%; GWS GIANTS (Visit): 0.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bet Right🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%5.4%2026-09-27 02:35
SportsBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%5.3%2026-09-27 03:04
Neds🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%5.6%2026-09-26 23:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%5.6%2026-09-26 23:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%6.1%2026-09-27 00:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%6.7%2026-09-27 02:25
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%5.6%2026-09-27 03:00
Unibet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%6.3%2026-09-27 02:25
TABtouch🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%6.6%2026-09-27 02:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%1.6%2026-09-27 03:00