Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 4.40
assuming max odds 1.33
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Collingwood Magpies (Local): 0.00%; Fremantle Dockers (Visit): 0.00%.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TAB🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57% | 6.1% | 2026-08-23 02:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 22:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07% | 6.1% | 2026-08-23 00:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 02:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03% | 5.2% | 2026-08-23 02:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34% | 6.3% | 2026-08-23 00:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04% | 6.8% | 2026-08-23 02:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04% | 6.8% | 2026-08-23 02:04 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98% | 7.4% | 2026-08-20 13:09 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07% | 6.1% | 2026-08-23 02:00 |