Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Carlton Blues v Western Bulldogs

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 04:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

Carlton Blues (Local)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -69.44%
Kelly -227.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.22%0.00%0.00%67.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.401.401.4472.46%71.23%71.43%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Western Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -34.48%
Kelly -52.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.24%0.00%0.00%34.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.862.882.9037.04%35.00%34.72%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Carlton Blues (Local): 0.00%; Western Bulldogs (Visit): 0.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
picklebet_au🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%6.5%2026-10-17 03:24
Bet Right🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%6.1%2026-10-17 04:00
SportsBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.98%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.02%5.9%2026-10-16 23:44
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%5.9%2026-10-17 00:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%5.9%2026-10-17 00:50
TAB🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%5.9%2026-10-17 04:00
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%6.2%2026-10-17 02:25
TABtouch🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%6.2%2026-10-17 02:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%7.0%2026-10-17 01:45
Dabble (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%6.9%2026-10-16 06:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%5.8%2026-10-17 04:00