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Carlton Blues v Richmond Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

Carlton Blues (Local)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -87.72%
Kelly -714.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.83%0.00%0.00%87.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.091.111.111.1491.74%90.18%90.09%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Richmond Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -13.33%
Kelly -15.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 7.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.69%0.00%0.00%17.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.386.257.5018.18%15.68%16.00%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Carlton Blues (Local): 0.00%; Richmond Tigers (Visit): 0.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Betr (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%5.9%2026-09-25 05:30
SportsBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%6.1%2026-09-25 00:54
Bet Right🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%6.1%2026-09-25 05:29
TABtouch🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%6.1%2026-09-25 05:29
Unibet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%6.1%2026-09-25 05:29
TAB🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%6.2%2026-09-25 05:35
Neds🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.71%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.29%6.1%2026-09-24 05:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.71%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.29%6.1%2026-09-24 05:29
Dabble (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%5.1%2026-09-23 08:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.14I 87.72%NM 85.64%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.36%2.4%2026-09-25 05:55