Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Carlton Blues v Hawthorn Hawks

Kickoff: 2026-10-01 09:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

Carlton Blues (Local)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -72.46%
Kelly -263.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.49%0.00%0.00%69.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.361.361.3874.07%73.59%73.53%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hawthorn Hawks (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -32.26%
Kelly -47.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.34%0.00%0.00%31.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.073.103.1033.33%32.60%32.26%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Carlton Blues (Local): 0.00%; Hawthorn Hawks (Visit): 0.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
TAB🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%5.8%2026-10-01 08:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%5.3%2026-10-01 08:50
SportsBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.23%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.77%6.2%2026-10-01 09:05
Bet Right🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%6.3%2026-10-01 09:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%6.9%2026-10-01 09:10
Neds🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%6.3%2026-10-01 07:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%6.3%2026-10-01 07:19
TABtouch🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%6.3%2026-10-01 08:04
Unibet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%6.3%2026-10-01 08:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.2%2026-10-01 09:05