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Carlton Blues v Collingwood Magpies

Kickoff: 2026-09-06 05:07 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

Carlton Blues (Local)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -96.15%
Kelly -2500.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
90.22%0.00%0.00%92.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.021.031.031.0498.04%96.90%97.09%96.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Collingwood Magpies (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -7.69%
Kelly -8.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 13.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.28%0.00%0.00%9.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.5010.6510.7513.0010.53%9.39%9.30%7.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Carlton Blues (Local): 0.00%; Collingwood Magpies (Visit): 0.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bet Right🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%5.2%2026-09-06 00:20
SportsBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%5.7%2026-09-06 05:00
TAB🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%6.2%2026-09-06 04:59
Neds🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%6.2%2026-09-02 01:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%6.2%2026-09-02 01:54
PlayUp🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%6.2%2026-09-06 04:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%7.1%2026-09-05 23:05
TABtouch🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%7.6%2026-09-06 00:30
Unibet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%7.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%5.7%2026-09-01 03:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%0.9%2026-09-06 04:45