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Carlton Blues v Adelaide Crows

Kickoff: 2026-08-23 05:20 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

Carlton Blues (Local)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -58.14%
Kelly -138.89%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.97%0.00%0.00%58.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.661.671.7263.69%60.20%59.70%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Adelaide Crows (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -44.44%
Kelly -80.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.10%0.00%0.00%45.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.162.152.2547.62%46.38%46.51%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Carlton Blues (Local): 0.00%; Adelaide Crows (Visit): 0.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%5.8%2026-08-23 00:35
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%6.4%2026-08-23 02:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%6.4%2026-08-23 02:00
TAB🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%6.0%2026-08-23 04:09
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%6.0%2026-08-23 00:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%7.5%2026-08-23 02:50
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%6.2%2026-08-23 02:44
TABtouch🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%6.2%2026-08-23 02:44
Bet Right🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%7.9%2026-08-23 05:15
Dabble (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%8.1%2026-08-23 00:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-08-23 05:15