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Adelaide Crows v Sydney Swans

Kickoff: 2026-08-16 02:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

Adelaide Crows (Local)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -57.14%
Kelly -133.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.83%0.00%0.00%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.681.671.7561.73%59.42%59.70%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sydney Swans (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -44.44%
Kelly -80.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.86%0.00%0.00%46.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.042.142.132.2549.02%46.77%47.06%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Adelaide Crows (Local): 0.00%; Sydney Swans (Visit): 0.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%6.2%2026-08-15 23:54
TABtouch🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%6.2%2026-08-15 23:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%6.6%2026-08-16 00:49
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%6.6%2026-08-16 00:49
Dabble (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%6.4%2026-08-16 00:19
SportsBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%6.1%2026-08-16 01:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%7.1%2026-08-16 01:34
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%5.8%2026-08-16 02:34
Bet Right🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%6.2%2026-08-16 01:59
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%6.2%2026-08-16 02:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81%1.3%2026-08-16 02:30