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Adelaide Crows v Fremantle Dockers

Kickoff: 2026-09-27 03:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

Adelaide Crows (Local)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -76.92%
Kelly -333.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.74%0.00%0.00%74.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.261.291.301.3079.37%77.45%76.92%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Fremantle Dockers (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -26.67%
Kelly -36.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.15%0.00%0.00%28.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.463.403.7530.30%28.89%29.41%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Adelaide Crows (Local): 0.00%; Fremantle Dockers (Visit): 0.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%6.3%2026-09-21 22:34
Bet Right🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%6.3%2026-09-21 22:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%6.3%2026-09-21 22:34
TAB🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%6.3%2026-09-27 02:55
Dabble (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%7.2%2026-09-22 01:04
TABtouch🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%6.1%2026-09-26 22:40
Unibet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%6.1%2026-09-26 22:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%6.7%2026-09-27 02:20
SportsBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%6.0%2026-09-27 03:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%5.0%2026-09-27 03:00