The School of Odds

Western Bulldogs v West Coast Eagles

2026-07-12 03:10 — AFL

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (7 in analysis)

1 bookmaker(s) offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Option 1: Western Bulldogs (Local)

1.0595.24%Min
1.1289.65%Mean
1.1289.29%Median
1.1487.72%Max
82.28%1.215Min
86.42%1.157Max
84.11%1.189Mean
84.15%1.188Median
84.21%1.187IQM
84.20%1.188Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.14 under the IQM model: 84.21%

EV -4.00%Edge -3.51%Kelly -28.54%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: West Coast Eagles (Visit)

5.2019.23%Min
5.9916.70%Mean
6.0016.67%Median
7.0014.29%Max
13.58%7.364Min
17.72%5.643Max
15.89%6.293Mean
15.85%6.310Median
15.79%6.335IQM
15.80%6.330Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 7.00 under the IQM model: 15.79%

EV +10.50%Edge +1.50%Kelly +1.75%Growth +0.184%

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

BookmakerWestern Bulldogs (Local)West Coast Eagles (Visit) ▼MarginUpdated
Betr (AU)1.10I 90.91% NM 86.42%EV -7.36% E -6.69% K -73.64% G +0.000%7.00I 14.29% NM 13.58%EV +10.50% E +1.50% K +1.75% G +0.184%5.2%2026-07-05 09:39
Neds1.11I 90.09% NM 85.41%EV -6.52% E -5.88% K -59.29% G +0.000%6.50I 15.38% NM 14.59%EV +2.61% E +0.401% K +0.474% G +0.012%5.5%2026-07-05 10:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.11I 90.09% NM 85.41%EV -6.52% E -5.88% K -59.29% G +0.000%6.50I 15.38% NM 14.59%EV +2.61% E +0.401% K +0.474% G +0.012%5.5%2026-07-05 09:59
TAB1.11I 90.09% NM 85.41%EV -6.52% E -5.88% K -59.29% G +0.000%6.50I 15.38% NM 14.59%EV +2.61% E +0.401% K +0.474% G +0.012%5.5%2026-07-05 09:15
PointsBet (AU)1.11I 90.09% NM 85.41%EV -6.52% E -5.88% K -59.29% G +0.000%6.50I 15.38% NM 14.59%EV +2.61% E +0.401% K +0.474% G +0.012%5.5%2026-07-05 10:10
SportsBet1.13I 88.50% NM 84.26%EV -4.84% E -4.28% K -37.21% G +0.000%6.05I 16.53% NM 15.74%EV -4.50% E -0.743% K -0.890% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 09:10
Coolbet1.13I 88.50% NM 84.15%EV -4.84% E -4.28% K -37.21% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 15.85%EV -5.29% E -0.881% K -1.06% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 14:04
TABtouch1.13I 88.50% NM 84.15%EV -4.84% E -4.28% K -37.21% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 15.85%EV -5.29% E -0.881% K -1.06% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 12:25
Grosvenor1.13I 88.50% NM 84.15%EV -4.84% E -4.28% K -37.21% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 15.85%EV -5.29% E -0.881% K -1.06% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 12:30
Casumo1.13I 88.50% NM 84.15%EV -4.84% E -4.28% K -37.21% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 15.85%EV -5.29% E -0.881% K -1.06% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 12:30
Unibet (NL)1.13I 88.50% NM 84.15%EV -4.84% E -4.28% K -37.21% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 15.85%EV -5.29% E -0.881% K -1.06% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 12:30
PlayUp1.12I 89.29% NM 84.27%EV -5.68% E -5.07% K -47.33% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 15.73%EV -5.29% E -0.881% K -1.06% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 09:10
DraftKings1.10I 90.91% NM 84.51%EV -7.36% E -6.69% K -73.64% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 15.49%EV -5.29% E -0.881% K -1.06% G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-05 10:00
Tipico (DE)1.10I 90.91% NM 84.51%EV -7.36% E -6.69% K -73.64% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 15.49%EV -5.29% E -0.881% K -1.06% G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-05 11:00
Marathon Bet1.11I 90.09% NM 83.94%EV -6.52% E -5.88% K -59.29% G +0.000%5.80I 17.24% NM 16.06%EV -8.44% E -1.46% K -1.76% G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-05 09:20
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72% NM 82.83%EV -4.00% E -3.51% K -28.54% G +0.000%5.50I 18.18% NM 17.17%EV -13.18% E -2.40% K -2.93% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 09:10
Unibet1.13I 88.50% NM 82.96%EV -4.84% E -4.28% K -37.21% G +0.000%5.50I 18.18% NM 17.04%EV -13.18% E -2.40% K -2.93% G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-05 12:29
NetBet (FR)1.05I 95.24% NM 83.97%EV -11.58% E -11.02% K -231.50% G +0.000%5.50I 18.18% NM 16.03%EV -13.18% E -2.40% K -2.93% G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-05 12:29
Betsson1.12I 89.29% NM 82.28%EV -5.68% E -5.07% K -47.33% G +0.000%5.20I 19.23% NM 17.72%EV -17.91% E -3.45% K -4.27% G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-05 10:15
NordicBet1.12I 89.29% NM 82.28%EV -5.68% E -5.07% K -47.33% G +0.000%5.20I 19.23% NM 17.72%EV -17.91% E -3.45% K -4.27% G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-05 10:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerWestern Bulldogs (Local)West Coast Eagles (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.13I 88.50%7.00I 14.29%2.8%2026-07-05 13:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.13I 88.50%7.00I 14.29%2.8%2026-07-05 13:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.13I 88.50%7.00I 14.29%2.8%2026-07-05 13:05

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
LeoVegas1.12I 89.29%5.20I 19.23%100.00I 1.00%9.5%2026-07-05 10:14