The School of OddsWestern Bulldogs v Richmond Tigers
Head to Head
1 bookmaker(s) offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Western Bulldogs (Local)
Prediction 86.05%1.16fair odd
EV -4.49%
Edge -4.04%
Kelly -40.77%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.11
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
84.18%85.96%85.87%87.31%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.021.091.101.1198%92%91%90%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Richmond Tigers (Visit)
Prediction 13.95%7.17fair odd
EV +4.63%
Edge +0.617%
Kelly +0.712%
Growth +0.033%
assuming max odds 7.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.69%14.04%14.13%15.82%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
5.806.807.007.5017%15%14%13%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.21%E -5.69%K -68.96%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +4.63%E +0.617%K +0.712%G +0.033% | 5.1% | 2026-07-20 00:00 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.21%E -5.69%K -68.96%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +4.63%E +0.617%K +0.712%G +0.033% | 5.1% | 2026-07-20 01:09 |
| SportsBet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.35%E -4.86%K -53.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.35%E -0.335%K -0.391%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-19 09:15 |
| Neds | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.35%E -4.86%K -53.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.35%E -0.335%K -0.391%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-19 10:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.35%E -4.86%K -53.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.35%E -0.335%K -0.391%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-19 10:10 |
| Bet Right | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.35%E -4.86%K -53.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.35%E -0.335%K -0.391%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-19 09:15 |
| Casumo | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.35%E -4.86%K -53.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.35%E -0.335%K -0.391%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-19 23:35 |
| Grosvenor | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.35%E -4.86%K -53.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.35%E -0.335%K -0.391%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-19 23:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.35%E -4.86%K -53.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.35%E -0.335%K -0.391%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-19 23:35 |
| TABtouch | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.35%E -4.86%K -53.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.35%E -0.335%K -0.391%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-19 23:35 |
| TAB | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.35%E -4.86%K -53.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.35%E -0.335%K -0.391%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-19 23:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.35%E -4.86%K -53.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.35%E -0.335%K -0.391%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-20 00:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.21%E -5.69%K -68.96%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -2.35%E -0.335%K -0.391%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-19 19:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.93%E -7.41%K -113.25%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -2.35%E -0.335%K -0.391%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-19 17:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -7.07%E -6.54%K -88.33%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -5.83%E -0.864%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-19 23:39 |
| Coolbet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -4.49%E -4.04%K -40.77%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -6.53%E -0.975%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-19 23:45 |
| Paddy Power | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.49%E -4.04%K -40.77%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -9.32%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-19 09:15 |
| DraftKings | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.21%E -5.69%K -68.96%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -9.32%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-19 23:35 |
| Unibet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -5.35%E -4.86%K -53.46%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -10.72%E -1.67%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-19 23:35 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 85.87%EV -12.23%E -11.99%K -611.48%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.13%EV -13.51%E -2.18%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-07-19 23:44 |
| NordicBet | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.18%EV -6.21%E -5.69%K -68.96%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.82%EV -19.09%E -3.29%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-19 10:40 |
| Betsson | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.18%EV -6.21%E -5.69%K -68.96%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.82%EV -19.09%E -3.29%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-19 10:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09% | 3.4% | 2026-07-19 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09% | 3.4% | 2026-07-19 12:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09% | 3.4% | 2026-07-19 12:10 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas | 1.09I 91.74%NM 83.85% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23% | 100.00I 1.00%NM 0.91% | 9.4% | 2026-07-19 10:39 |