La scuola delle quote

Western Bulldogs v Melbourne Demons

Inizio: 2026-05-24 05:18 UTC

Finale: Western Bulldogs 93–90 Melbourne Demons

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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27 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Western Bulldogs (Casa)

Previsione 46.51%2.15quota equa
EV -2.32%
Vantaggio -1.10%
Kelly -2.11%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.17%46.59%46.41%48.93%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.902.012.022.1052.63%49.66%49.50%47.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Melbourne Demons (Trasferta)

Previsione 53.49%1.87quota equa
EV -2.12%
Vantaggio -1.16%
Kelly -2.56%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.83

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.07%53.41%53.59%54.83%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.631.771.781.8361.35%56.57%56.18%54.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (27 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.32%E -1.10%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.47%E -4.32%K -10.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 05:09
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.64%E -2.27%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.80%E -2.69%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 01:29
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.64%E -2.27%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.80%E -2.69%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 04:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.64%E -2.27%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.80%E -2.69%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 01:30
Dabble (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.64%E -2.27%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.80%E -2.69%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 05:00
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.64%E -2.27%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.33%E -3.01%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 05:09
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.64%E -2.27%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.87%E -3.33%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 05:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.64%E -2.27%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.47%E -4.32%K -10.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 23:09
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.64%E -2.27%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.47%E -4.32%K -10.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 23:08
Pinnacle2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -5.11%E -2.50%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.19%E -1.76%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 04:00
Bet Right2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.11%E -2.50%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.80%E -2.69%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 04:40
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.04%E -2.99%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.73%E -2.07%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 04:30
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.04%E -2.99%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.73%E -2.07%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 04:30
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.04%E -2.99%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.73%E -2.07%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 04:30
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.04%E -2.99%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.73%E -2.07%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 04:30
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.97%E -3.49%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.19%E -1.76%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 03:10
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.97%E -3.49%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.73%E -2.07%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 04:09
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.97%E -3.49%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.73%E -2.07%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 05:00
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.97%E -3.49%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.73%E -2.07%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 04:10
Betsson2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -6.97%E -3.49%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -8.01%E -4.65%K -11.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 02:39
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -6.97%E -3.49%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -8.01%E -4.65%K -11.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 02:39
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.97%E -3.49%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.08%E -5.34%K -12.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-22 17:30
Unibet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -7.90%E -3.99%K -8.06%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -4.80%E -2.69%K -6.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 04:30
Marathon Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%EV -8.37%E -4.25%K -8.62%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%EV -5.87%E -3.33%K -7.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 05:00
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.30%E -4.77%K -9.79%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.40%E -3.66%K -8.53%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-24 03:59
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -11.16%E -5.84%K -12.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.12%E -1.16%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 02:59
NetBet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.18%EV -11.62%E -6.12%K -12.91%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 53.82%EV -12.82%E -7.86%K -20.35%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-24 05:09
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%0.4%2026-05-24 05:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%0.4%2026-05-24 05:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-05-24 05:10