La scuola delle quoteQuote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.33
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.58
2 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.93%E -2.96%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 02:15 |
| DraftKings | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -3.93%E -2.96%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -12.53%E -3.98%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-14 02:15 |
| PlayUp | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.66%E -3.53%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.81%E -0.802%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-14 02:14 |
| Casumo | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.66%E -3.53%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 02:15 |
| TABtouch | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.66%E -3.53%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 02:15 |
| Grosvenor | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.66%E -3.53%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 02:15 |
| Neds | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.66%E -3.53%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 02:14 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.66%E -3.53%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 02:14 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.66%E -3.53%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 02:15 |
| TAB | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.66%E -3.53%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 02:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.66%E -3.53%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 02:14 |
| Coolbet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.66%E -3.53%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 02:14 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.66%E -3.53%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 02:15 |
| Bet Right | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.66%E -3.53%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 02:14 |
| SportsBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.66%E -3.53%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-14 02:14 |
| BetUS | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.38%E -4.10%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -4.20%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 02:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.38%E -4.10%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 02:15 |
| Unibet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.10%E -4.69%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-14 02:15 |
| Pinnacle | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.51%EV -6.82%E -5.29%K -23.52%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.49%EV -0.587%E -0.164%K -0.227%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 02:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -7.54%E -5.89%K -26.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -2.81%E -0.802%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-14 02:15 |
| Coral | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -7.54%E -5.89%K -26.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -2.81%E -0.802%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-14 02:14 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.54%E -5.89%K -26.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 02:14 |
| Everygame | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.54%E -5.89%K -26.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 02:14 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -8.27%E -6.51%K -30.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-14 02:14 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.08%EV -11.88%E -9.74%K -53.99%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.92%EV -12.53%E -3.98%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-14 02:14 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-03-14 02:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-03-14 02:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-03-14 02:15 |
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.49% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59% | 100.00I 1.00%NM 0.92% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 02:14 |
| NordicBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.49% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59% | 100.00I 1.00%NM 0.92% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 02:14 |