默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Western Bulldogs v Greater Western Sydney Giants

开赛时间: 2026-03-14 02:16 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

25 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Western Bulldogs (主队)

预测 72.23%1.38公平赔率
EV -3.93%
优势 -2.96%
Kelly -11.92%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.33

博彩公司预测分布
70.31%72.14%72.08%73.51%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.221.311.321.3381.97%76.59%75.76%75.19%最小值均值中位数最大值

Greater Western Sydney Giants (客队)

预测 27.77%3.60公平赔率
EV -0.587%
优势 -0.164%
Kelly -0.227%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.58

博彩公司预测分布
26.49%27.86%27.92%29.69%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.153.383.403.5831.75%29.56%29.41%27.93%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Western Bulldogs (主队):72.23%;Greater Western Sydney Giants (客队):27.77%。 对于“Greater Western Sydney Giants (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.60。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为3.58,期望值为-0.587%,未产生正期望值。

有 2 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项(3 个赛果,而分析采用 2 个赛果)。由于这一差异,应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (25 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.93%E -2.96%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 02:15
DraftKings🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -3.93%E -2.96%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -12.53%E -3.98%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 02:15
PlayUp🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.66%E -3.53%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.81%E -0.802%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 02:14
Casumo🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.66%E -3.53%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 02:15
TABtouch🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.66%E -3.53%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 02:15
Grosvenor🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.66%E -3.53%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 02:15
Neds🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.66%E -3.53%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 02:14
Dabble (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.66%E -3.53%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 02:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.66%E -3.53%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 02:15
TAB🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.66%E -3.53%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 02:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.66%E -3.53%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 02:14
Coolbet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.66%E -3.53%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 02:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.66%E -3.53%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 02:15
Bet Right🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.66%E -3.53%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 02:14
SportsBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.66%E -3.53%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 02:14
BetUS🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.38%E -4.10%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -4.20%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 02:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.38%E -4.10%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 02:15
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.10%E -4.69%K -20.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 02:15
Pinnacle🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.51%EV -6.82%E -5.29%K -23.52%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.49%EV -0.587%E -0.164%K -0.227%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 02:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -7.54%E -5.89%K -26.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -2.81%E -0.802%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 02:15
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -7.54%E -5.89%K -26.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -2.81%E -0.802%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 02:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.54%E -5.89%K -26.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 02:14
Everygame🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.54%E -5.89%K -26.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 02:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -8.27%E -6.51%K -30.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -5.59%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 02:14
NetBet (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.08%EV -11.88%E -9.74%K -53.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.92%EV -12.53%E -3.98%K -5.83%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-14 02:14
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-03-14 02:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-03-14 02:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-03-14 02:15

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (2)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同,因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同,并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2选项 3利润率 ▲更新时间
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.49%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%100.00I 1.00%NM 0.92%9.0%2026-03-14 02:14
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.49%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%100.00I 1.00%NM 0.92%9.0%2026-03-14 02:14