預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Western Bulldogs v Adelaide Crows

開賽時間: 2026-06-11 09:30 UTC

最終賽果: Western Bulldogs 64–121 Adelaide Crows

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

27 家博彩公司 (8 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Western Bulldogs (主隊)

預測 56.79%1.76公平賠率
EV -1.75%
優勢 -1.01%
Kelly -2.40%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.73

博彩公司預測分布
54.23%56.62%56.84%58.38%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.551.661.671.7364.52%60.16%59.88%57.80%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Adelaide Crows (客隊)

預測 43.21%2.31公平賠率
EV -0.616%
優勢 -0.268%
Kelly -0.474%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.30

博彩公司預測分布
41.62%43.38%43.16%45.77%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.002.172.202.3050.00%46.01%45.45%43.48%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Western Bulldogs (主隊):56.79%;Adelaide Crows (客隊):43.21%。 對於「Adelaide Crows (客隊)」,該估計相當於2.31的公平十進位賠率。 當時沒有符合條件的博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率:最佳賠率為2.30,期望值為-0.616%,未產生正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (27 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊利潤率更新時間
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -1.75%E -1.01%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -11.42%E -5.57%K -10.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-10 07:29
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -1.75%E -1.01%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -11.42%E -5.57%K -10.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-10 07:38
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.89%E -1.69%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-10 12:49
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.46%E -2.03%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -6.23%E -2.87%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-11 08:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.59%E -2.73%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.94%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-11 07:19
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -4.59%E -2.73%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -13.58%E -6.79%K -13.58%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-11 06:19
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -4.59%E -2.73%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -13.58%E -6.79%K -13.58%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-11 06:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.16%E -3.09%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.78%E -1.23%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-11 08:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.16%E -3.09%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.94%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-11 09:00
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.16%E -3.09%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.94%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-11 08:59
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.16%E -3.09%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.94%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-11 09:00
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.16%E -3.09%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.94%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-11 09:00
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.16%E -3.09%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.94%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-11 08:39
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.16%E -3.09%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-11 08:59
Pinnacle🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.76%EV -5.73%E -3.45%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.24%EV -1.91%E -0.842%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-11 09:20
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.30%E -3.82%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.78%E -1.23%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-11 08:30
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.30%E -3.82%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.78%E -1.23%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-11 08:39
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.30%E -3.82%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.78%E -1.23%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-11 08:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.30%E -3.82%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.78%E -1.23%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-11 09:00
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.30%E -3.82%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.78%E -1.23%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-11 09:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.30%E -3.82%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.78%E -1.23%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-11 07:10
SportsBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.30%E -3.82%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.94%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-11 09:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.30%E -3.82%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-11 01:49
Bet Right🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.87%E -4.19%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -0.616%E -0.268%K -0.474%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-11 09:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -7.43%E -4.56%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -6.23%E -2.87%K -5.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-11 09:09
Everygame🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.14%E -5.71%K -15.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -4.94%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-11 09:19
NetBet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 56.58%EV -11.98%E -7.73%K -21.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.42%EV -12.71%E -6.29%K -12.47%G +0.000%14.0%2026-06-11 08:49
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-06-11 09:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-06-11 09:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-06-11 09:20