The School of Odds
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West Coast Eagles v Port Adelaide Power

Kickoff: 2026-06-06 10:15 UTC

Final: West Coast Eagles 71–77 Port Adelaide Power

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

West Coast Eagles (Local)

Prediction 42.15%2.37fair odd
EV -1.79%
Edge -0.767%
Kelly -1.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.01%42.07%42.21%43.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.072.222.212.3348.31%45.10%45.25%42.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Port Adelaide Power (Visit)

Prediction 57.85%1.73fair odd
EV -3.39%
Edge -2.03%
Kelly -5.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.54%57.93%57.79%58.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.631.641.6765.36%61.16%60.98%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: West Coast Eagles (Local): 42.15%; Port Adelaide Power (Visit): 57.85%. For West Coast Eagles (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.37. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.33, with an expected value of -1.79%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -1.79%E -0.767%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -6.29%E -3.88%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-06 09:49
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.05%E -1.33%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.55%E -2.76%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-06 07:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.05%E -1.33%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.71%E -3.50%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 08:59
BetUS🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -4.74%E -2.10%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -5.13%E -3.13%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-06 01:19
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.55%E -2.76%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-06 09:19
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.55%E -2.76%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-06 10:09
TAB🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.55%E -2.76%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-06 09:18
Dabble (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.55%E -2.76%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 22:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.13%E -3.13%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-03 02:40
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.13%E -3.13%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-03 02:39
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.13%E -3.13%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-06 09:30
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.71%E -3.50%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-06 10:00
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.29%E -3.88%K -10.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-06 10:09
Marathon Bet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -6.42%E -2.89%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.12%EV -7.44%E -4.65%K -12.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-06 09:29
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.27%E -3.30%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.39%E -2.03%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 10:00
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.27%E -3.30%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.39%E -2.03%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 09:59
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.27%E -3.30%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.39%E -2.03%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 10:00
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.27%E -3.30%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.39%E -2.03%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 09:59
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.27%E -3.30%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.39%E -2.03%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 10:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.27%E -3.30%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.55%E -2.76%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-04 22:29
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.27%E -3.30%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.55%E -2.76%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-04 22:39
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.27%E -3.30%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.44%E -4.65%K -12.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-06 09:59
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.27%E -3.30%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.44%E -4.65%K -12.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-06 09:19
Unibet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -8.95%E -4.14%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -3.97%E -2.39%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-06 08:59
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -9.37%E -4.36%K -8.15%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.29%E -3.88%K -10.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-04 12:39
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -9.37%E -4.36%K -8.15%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.29%E -3.88%K -10.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-04 12:39
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.09%EV -11.48%E -5.47%K -10.44%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 56.91%EV -8.02%E -5.04%K -13.59%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-06 10:09
NetBet (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 42.50%EV -12.75%E -6.16%K -11.91%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.50%EV -11.49%E -7.51%K -21.68%G +0.000%13.7%2026-06-05 01:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 41.26%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.74%0.1%2026-06-06 10:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 41.26%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.74%0.1%2026-06-06 10:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-06-06 10:10