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West Coast Eagles v North Melbourne Kangaroos

Kickoff: 2026-03-22 07:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

West Coast Eagles (Local)

Prediction 35.49%2.82fair odd
EV +1.13%
Edge +0.398%
Kelly +0.613%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.57%35.54%35.25%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.642.652.8541.67%37.86%37.74%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

North Melbourne Kangaroos (Visit)

Prediction 64.51%1.55fair odd
EV -1.94%
Edge -1.27%
Kelly -3.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.54%64.46%64.75%66.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.471.471.5273.53%68.21%68.03%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: West Coast Eagles (Local): 35.49%; North Melbourne Kangaroos (Visit): 64.51%. For West Coast Eagles (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.82. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.13%.

2 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV +1.13%E +0.398%K +0.613%G +0.007%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -7.10%E -4.93%K -16.13%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 07:05
SportsBet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.97%EV -1.35%E -0.486%K -0.759%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.03%EV -7.74%E -5.42%K -18.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 07:10
BetUS🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.41%E -0.878%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -5.16%E -3.51%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-18 19:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.41%E -0.878%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.45%E -4.45%K -14.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 23:34
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.41%E -0.878%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.10%E -4.93%K -16.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-22 07:05
DraftKings🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.41%E -0.878%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.10%E -4.93%K -16.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-22 07:10
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.19%E -1.55%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.16%E -3.51%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 06:49
Dabble (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -4.19%E -1.55%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.81%E -3.98%K -12.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 22:14
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -4.19%E -1.55%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -9.68%E -6.91%K -24.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 05:10
TAB🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.96%E -2.25%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.52%E -3.05%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 06:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.96%E -2.25%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.52%E -3.05%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 06:45
Coral🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.96%E -2.25%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.81%E -3.98%K -12.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 01:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.96%E -2.25%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.81%E -3.98%K -12.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 01:39
Pinnacle🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -7.74%E -2.98%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -2.58%E -1.71%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 07:00
Bet Right🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.74%E -2.98%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.23%E -2.15%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 06:44
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.74%E -2.98%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.23%E -2.15%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 06:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.74%E -2.98%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.23%E -2.15%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 06:50
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.74%E -2.98%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.23%E -2.15%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 06:50
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.74%E -2.98%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.45%E -4.45%K -14.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 06:50
Grosvenor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -7.74%E -2.98%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -7.74%E -5.42%K -18.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 07:10
Neds🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -9.51%E -3.73%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -1.94%E -1.27%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 06:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -9.51%E -3.73%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -1.94%E -1.27%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 06:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -11.29%E -4.51%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -4.52%E -3.05%K -9.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 07:05
NetBet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.23%EV -11.29%E -4.51%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 64.77%EV -12.26%E -9.01%K -34.06%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-22 06:49
Everygame🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -14.83%E -6.18%K -10.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -3.23%E -2.15%K -6.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 06:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-03-22 07:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-03-22 07:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%1.0%2026-03-22 07:09

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (2)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.69%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.57%125.00I 0.80%NM 0.74%8.3%2026-03-22 07:09
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.69%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.57%125.00I 0.80%NM 0.74%8.3%2026-03-22 07:10