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West Coast Eagles v Greater Western Sydney Giants
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
West Coast Eagles (Local)
Prediction 23.26%4.30fair odd
EV +2.34%
Edge +0.531%
Kelly +0.687%
Growth +0.016%
assuming max odds 4.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.53%23.25%23.38%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.504.024.004.4028.57%24.89%25.00%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Greater Western Sydney Giants (Visit)
Prediction 76.74%1.30fair odd
EV -3.31%
Edge -2.62%
Kelly -12.71%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.26
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.68%76.75%76.62%78.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.221.221.2687.72%81.78%81.97%79.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: West Coast Eagles (Local): 23.26%; Greater Western Sydney Giants (Visit): 76.74%. For West Coast Eagles (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.30. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.34%.
Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neds🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +2.34%E +0.531%K +0.687%G +0.016% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.38%E -5.23%K -28.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 21:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +2.34%E +0.531%K +0.687%G +0.016% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.38%E -5.23%K -28.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 21:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +0.011%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.38%E -5.23%K -28.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-17 03:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV +0.011%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -9.44%E -8.00%K -52.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 13:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -1.15%E -0.271%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.38%E -5.23%K -28.98%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-17 05:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -1.15%E -0.271%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.38%E -5.23%K -28.98%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-17 05:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -3.48%E -0.838%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -7.91%E -6.59%K -39.55%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-17 08:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.64%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.84%E -3.90%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 08:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.64%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.84%E -3.90%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 08:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.64%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.84%E -3.90%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 08:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.64%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.84%E -3.90%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 08:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.64%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.84%E -3.90%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 08:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.64%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.84%E -3.90%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 07:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.97%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.07%E -3.26%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 08:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.97%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.84%E -3.90%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-17 07:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.97%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.38%E -5.23%K -28.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 05:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.97%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.38%E -5.23%K -28.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 05:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -8.13%E -2.06%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.70%EV -7.91%E -6.59%K -39.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-17 08:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -9.29%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.31%E -2.62%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 08:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -9.29%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -4.84%E -3.90%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-17 08:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -9.29%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -4.84%E -3.90%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-17 08:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.29%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -7.91%E -6.59%K -39.55%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-17 04:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.29%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -7.91%E -6.59%K -39.55%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-17 04:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.62%EV -9.29%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 77.38%EV -12.51%E -10.98%K -89.39%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-17 07:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.81I 26.25%NM 24.85%EV -11.39%E -2.99%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.15%EV -3.31%E -2.62%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-17 07:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.18%EV -13.94%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.82%EV -9.44%E -8.00%K -52.47%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-17 08:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -18.60%E -5.31%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -4.07%E -3.26%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-17 04:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -18.60%E -5.31%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.15%EV -6.38%E -5.23%K -28.98%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-17 08:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.35% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.65% | 0.1% | 2026-05-17 08:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 0.7% | 2026-05-17 08:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 0.7% | 2026-05-17 08:10 |