Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

West Coast Eagles v Collingwood Magpies

2026-08-09 06:10 UTC — AFL

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

West Coast Eagles (Local)

Prediction 23.47%4.26fair odd
EV -3.78%
Edge -0.921%
Kelly -1.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.22%23.47%23.47%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.753.934.004.1026.67%25.42%25.00%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Collingwood Magpies (Visit)

Prediction 76.53%1.31fair odd
EV -4.34%
Edge -3.47%
Kelly -17.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.00%76.53%76.53%76.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.231.251.2586.96%81.19%80.00%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
SportsBet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.78%E -0.921%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.10%E -4.11%K -21.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-30 03:54
Bet Right4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-30 04:24
Ladbrokes (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-30 04:19
Neds4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-30 04:19
Paddy Power3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.99%E -3.20%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-30 03:54
NetBet (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.47%EV -11.99%E -3.20%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 76.53%EV -11.99%E -10.43%K -79.93%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-30 05:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 26.74%1.15I 86.96%NM 73.26%18.7%2026-07-30 05:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 26.74%1.15I 86.96%NM 73.26%18.7%2026-07-30 05:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 26.74%1.15I 86.96%NM 73.26%18.7%2026-07-30 05:30