语言:简体中文
West Coast Eagles v Brisbane Lions
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
West Coast Eagles (主队)
预测 15.12%6.61公平赔率
EV +20.96%
优势 +2.62%
Kelly +2.99%
增长率 +0.627%
假设最高赔率为 8.00
博彩公司预测分布
11.60%15.05%14.70%18.12%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.156.366.388.0019.42%15.72%15.69%12.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
Brisbane Lions (客队)
预测 84.88%1.18公平赔率
EV -3.24%
优势 -2.84%
Kelly -23.12%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.14
博彩公司预测分布
81.88%84.95%85.30%88.40%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.031.111.111.1497.09%90.47%90.09%87.72%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：West Coast Eagles (主队)：15.12%；Brisbane Lions (客队)：84.88%。 对于“West Coast Eagles (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.61。 当时有9家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为8.00，对应+20.96%的正期望值。
有 2 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (26 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV +20.96%E +2.62%K +2.99%G +0.627% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -10.88%E -10.36%K -217.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-12 12:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +5.84%E +0.834%K +0.973%G +0.057% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.63%E -6.03%K -66.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-18 09:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +5.84%E +0.834%K +0.973%G +0.057% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.63%E -6.03%K -66.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-18 09:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +5.84%E +0.834%K +0.973%G +0.057% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.63%E -6.03%K -66.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-18 09:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +5.84%E +0.834%K +0.973%G +0.057% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.63%E -6.03%K -66.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-18 09:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +5.84%E +0.834%K +0.973%G +0.057% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.63%E -6.03%K -66.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-18 09:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +5.84%E +0.834%K +0.973%G +0.057% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -8.33%E -7.71%K -104.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-18 00:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +5.84%E +0.834%K +0.973%G +0.057% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -8.33%E -7.71%K -104.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-18 01:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +1.30%E +0.194%K +0.228%G +0.003% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -5.78%E -5.21%K -52.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 09:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.72%E -0.265%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.93%E -4.41%K -41.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-18 10:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.72%E -0.265%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.93%E -4.41%K -41.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-18 09:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.72%E -0.265%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.93%E -4.41%K -41.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-18 09:50 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -1.72%E -0.265%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.78%E -5.21%K -52.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-18 09:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -5.50%E -0.880%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.93%E -4.41%K -41.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 10:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -5.50%E -0.880%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -6.63%E -6.03%K -66.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-18 09:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.28%E -1.55%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.09%E -3.62%K -31.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-18 10:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.28%E -1.55%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.09%E -3.62%K -31.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-18 10:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.28%E -1.55%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.93%E -4.41%K -41.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-18 10:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.28%E -1.55%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.93%E -4.41%K -41.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-18 09:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.28%E -1.55%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.93%E -4.41%K -41.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-18 10:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.65%EV -9.28%E -1.55%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 85.35%EV -12.57%E -12.21%K -419.11%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-07-18 10:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -12.31%E -2.12%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -4.09%E -3.62%K -31.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-18 10:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -16.84%E -3.06%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.93%E -4.41%K -41.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-18 10:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -16.84%E -3.06%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.33%EV -6.63%E -6.03%K -66.32%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-18 08:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.33%EV -21.38%E -4.11%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 82.67%EV -7.48%E -6.86%K -83.12%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-18 09:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.12%EV -22.13%E -4.30%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.88%EV -3.24%E -2.84%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-18 10:05 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.12% | 1.6% | 2026-07-18 10:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.12% | 1.6% | 2026-07-18 10:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.91% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.09% | 2.0% | 2026-07-18 10:05 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (2)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 选项 3 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.60% | 125.00I 0.80%NM 0.73% | 9.1% | 2026-07-18 10:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.80% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.29% | 100.00I 1.00%NM 0.92% | 9.2% | 2026-07-18 08:50 |