Sydney Swans v St Kilda Saints

Inizio: 2026-06-07 05:16 UTC

Finale: Sydney Swans 104–102 St Kilda Saints

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

28 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

80%

20%

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Sydney Swans (Casa)

Previsione 79.90%1.25quota equa

EV -2.52%

Vantaggio -2.06%

Kelly -11.44%

Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.22

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker

76.63%79.83%79.65%81.34%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Distribuzione delle quote

1.111.181.181.2290.09%84.77%84.75%81.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

St Kilda Saints (Trasferta)

Previsione 20.10%4.98quota equa

EV +2.49%

Vantaggio +0.489%

Kelly +0.608%

Crescita +0.015%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker

18.66%20.17%20.35%23.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Distribuzione delle quote

3.904.624.655.1025.64%21.66%21.51%19.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (28 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

Bookmaker	Casa	Trasferta ▼	Margine	Aggiornamento
Unibet (NL)	1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.51%E -5.57%K -38.31%G +0.000%	5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +2.49%E +0.489%K +0.608%G +0.015%	5.1%	2026-06-07 04:49
Grosvenor	1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.51%E -5.57%K -38.31%G +0.000%	5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +2.49%E +0.489%K +0.608%G +0.015%	5.1%	2026-06-07 04:50
Casumo	1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.51%E -5.57%K -38.31%G +0.000%	5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +2.49%E +0.489%K +0.608%G +0.015%	5.1%	2026-06-07 04:49
TABtouch	1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.51%E -5.57%K -38.31%G +0.000%	5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +2.49%E +0.489%K +0.608%G +0.015%	5.1%	2026-06-07 04:50
PointsBet (AU)	1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -7.31%E -6.30%K -45.70%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV +0.483%E +0.097%K +0.121%G +0.001%	6.2%	2026-06-07 02:59
Pinnacle	1.17I 85.47%NM 81.01%EV -6.51%E -5.57%K -38.31%G +0.000%	4.99I 20.04%NM 18.99%EV +0.282%E +0.056%K +0.071%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-06-07 05:09
Marathon Bet	1.14I 87.72%NM 81.28%EV -8.91%E -7.82%K -63.64%G +0.000%	4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -0.522%E -0.105%K -0.132%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-06-07 04:59
PlayUp	1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -5.71%E -4.84%K -31.74%G +0.000%	4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -2.53%E -0.522%K -0.658%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-07 03:09
TAB	1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.71%E -4.84%K -31.74%G +0.000%	4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -3.54%E -0.737%K -0.931%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-07 05:09
Betr (AU)	1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.71%E -4.84%K -31.74%G +0.000%	4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -3.54%E -0.737%K -0.931%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-07 05:09
SportsBet	1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.91%E -4.13%K -25.87%G +0.000%	4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -4.54%E -0.956%K -1.21%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-06-07 05:09
Bet Right	1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.91%E -4.13%K -25.87%G +0.000%	4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -4.54%E -0.956%K -1.21%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-06-07 05:09
DraftKings	1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.71%E -4.84%K -31.74%G +0.000%	4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -5.55%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-06-07 05:09
Unibet	1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -6.51%E -5.57%K -38.31%G +0.000%	4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -5.55%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-06-07 04:50
Coolbet	1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.12%E -3.43%K -20.58%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -7.56%E -1.64%K -2.10%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-06-07 05:09
Ladbrokes (AU)	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.12%E -3.43%K -20.58%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.57%E -2.13%K -2.73%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-07 01:09
Neds	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.12%E -3.43%K -20.58%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.57%E -2.13%K -2.73%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-07 01:09
Dabble (AU)	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.12%E -3.43%K -20.58%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.57%E -2.13%K -2.73%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-06 23:29
BetUS	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.12%E -3.43%K -20.58%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.57%E -2.13%K -2.73%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-02 23:00
Tipico (DE)	1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.51%E -5.57%K -38.31%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -9.57%E -2.13%K -2.73%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-06-06 04:19
Everygame	1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -7.31%E -6.30%K -45.70%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -9.57%E -2.13%K -2.73%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-06-07 02:28
Ladbrokes (UK)	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.12%E -3.43%K -20.58%G +0.000%	4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -12.98%E -3.00%K -3.90%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-06-03 00:29
Coral	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.12%E -3.43%K -20.58%G +0.000%	4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -12.98%E -3.00%K -3.90%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-06-03 00:30
NetBet (FR)	1.11I 90.09%NM 79.10%EV -11.31%E -10.19%K -102.79%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 20.90%EV -15.59%E -3.71%K -4.87%G +0.000%	13.9%	2026-06-07 04:59
Betsson	1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%EV -4.91%E -4.13%K -25.87%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -17.60%E -4.29%K -5.68%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-06-07 04:09
NordicBet	1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%EV -4.91%E -4.13%K -25.87%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -17.60%E -4.29%K -5.68%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-06-07 04:09
Paddy Power	1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.52%E -2.06%K -11.44%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -19.61%E -4.90%K -6.54%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-06-07 04:29
Unibet (FR)	1.17I 85.47%NM 76.92%EV -6.51%E -5.57%K -38.31%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV -21.62%E -5.54%K -7.46%G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-06-07 05:09

Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

Bookmaker	Casa	Trasferta	Margine ▲	Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10%	5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90%	0.3%	2026-06-07 04:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10%	5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90%	0.3%	2026-06-07 04:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%	6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%	0.7%	2026-06-07 05:09