La scuola delle quote

Sydney Swans v Greater Western Sydney Giants

Inizio: 2026-04-17 09:50 UTC

Finale: Sydney Swans 107–66 Greater Western Sydney Giants

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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27 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Sydney Swans (Casa)

Previsione 76.78%1.30quota equa
EV -1.72%
Vantaggio -1.34%
Kelly -6.13%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.28

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
73.77%76.88%76.65%78.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.151.231.241.2886.96%81.03%80.65%78.13%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Greater Western Sydney Giants (Trasferta)

Previsione 23.22%4.31quota equa
EV +2.15%
Vantaggio +0.489%
Kelly +0.632%
Crescita +0.014%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.43%23.12%23.35%26.23%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.553.953.904.4028.17%25.30%25.64%22.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (27 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -7.86%E -6.55%K -39.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +2.15%E +0.489%K +0.632%G +0.014%6.1%2026-04-17 09:45
Marathon Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -8.63%E -7.25%K -45.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -0.172%E -0.040%K -0.052%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-17 08:59
Tipico (DE)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -9.39%E -7.96%K -52.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -0.172%E -0.040%K -0.052%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-17 06:09
Bet Right1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -5.56%E -4.52%K -24.15%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -1.33%E -0.313%K -0.410%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 09:44
PointsBet (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.32%E -5.18%K -28.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.49%E -0.594%K -0.779%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 09:44
TAB1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.79%E -3.86%K -19.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.81%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 09:40
Coolbet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.79%E -3.86%K -19.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.81%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 09:40
Betr (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.02%E -3.22%K -16.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 13:05
Dabble (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.02%E -3.22%K -16.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 08:09
DraftKings1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.79%E -3.86%K -19.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 09:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.56%E -4.52%K -24.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 23:04
Coral1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.56%E -4.52%K -24.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 23:03
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.32%E -5.18%K -28.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 09:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.25%E -2.58%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -9.46%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 04:45
Neds1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.25%E -2.58%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -9.46%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 04:44
PlayUp1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.25%E -2.58%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -9.46%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 08:10
Pinnacle1.26I 79.37%NM 75.44%EV -3.25%E -2.58%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.56%EV -10.15%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 09:39
Grosvenor1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.25%E -2.58%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.62%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 08:44
TABtouch1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.25%E -2.58%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.62%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 08:44
Casumo1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.25%E -2.58%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.62%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 08:44
Unibet (NL)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.25%E -2.58%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.62%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 08:44
Betsson1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.32%E -5.18%K -28.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -11.78%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 09:44
NordicBet1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.32%E -5.18%K -28.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -11.78%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 09:44
NetBet (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 76.53%EV -11.70%E -10.17%K -77.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.47%EV -12.94%E -3.45%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-17 09:44
BetUS1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -1.72%E -1.34%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -16.42%E -4.56%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-16 12:39
Unibet (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 75.16%EV -8.63%E -7.25%K -45.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -16.42%E -4.56%K -6.32%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-17 09:44
Unibet1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -3.25%E -2.58%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -17.58%E -4.95%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 08:44
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-04-17 09:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-04-17 09:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-04-17 09:40