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Sydney Swans v Brisbane Lions
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sydney Swans (Local)
assuming max odds 4.00
Brisbane Lions (Visit)
assuming max odds 1.29
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sydney Swans (Local): 0.00%; Brisbane Lions (Visit): 0.00%.
Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34% | 5.6% | 2026-08-23 23:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58% | 5.0% | 2026-08-24 00:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58% | 5.0% | 2026-08-24 00:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05% | 4.9% | 2026-08-23 23:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07% | 6.1% | 2026-08-23 12:10 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33% | 1.3% | 2026-08-24 11:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33% | 1.3% | 2026-08-24 11:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33% | 1.3% | 2026-08-24 11:39 |