赔率学院

Sydney Swans v Brisbane Lions

开赛时间: 2026-03-14 08:11 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

24 家博彩公司 (6 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Sydney Swans (主队)

预测 63.91%1.56公平赔率
EV +0.977%
优势 +0.618%
Kelly +1.68%
增长率 +0.016%

假设最高赔率为 1.58

博彩公司预测分布
60.79%64.40%63.93%68.69%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.351.451.451.5874.07%68.79%68.97%63.29%MIN均值中位数MAX

Brisbane Lions (客队)

预测 36.09%2.77公平赔率
EV +10.08%
优势 +3.30%
Kelly +4.92%
增长率 +0.495%

假设最高赔率为 3.05

博彩公司预测分布
31.31%35.60%36.07%39.21%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.402.672.633.0541.67%37.52%38.10%32.79%MIN均值中位数MAX

有 2 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项(3 个赛果,而分析采用 2 个赛果)。由于这一差异,应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (24 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
BetUS1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -11.17%E -8.03%K -28.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV +10.08%E +3.30%K +4.92%G +0.495%4.7%2026-03-14 08:09
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -10.53%E -7.52%K -26.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +6.47%E +2.19%K +3.32%G +0.215%5.3%2026-03-14 08:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -10.53%E -7.52%K -26.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +6.47%E +2.19%K +3.32%G +0.215%5.3%2026-03-14 08:09
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -13.72%E -10.16%K -39.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV +4.66%E +1.61%K +2.45%G +0.114%8.6%2026-03-14 08:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -10.53%E -7.52%K -26.32%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV +3.58%E +1.25%K +1.91%G +0.069%6.3%2026-03-14 08:09
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -10.53%E -7.52%K -26.32%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV +3.58%E +1.25%K +1.91%G +0.069%6.3%2026-03-14 08:10
Dabble (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +1.05%E +0.376%K +0.586%G +0.006%4.7%2026-03-14 08:09
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.30%EV -7.97%E -5.54%K -18.12%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.70%EV -2.19%E -0.810%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 08:09
Pinnacle1.49I 67.11%NM 64.18%EV -4.78%E -3.20%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.82%EV -3.64%E -1.36%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-14 08:09
Casumo1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.29%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -5.08%E -1.93%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 08:10
Unibet (NL)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.29%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -5.08%E -1.93%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 08:10
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -8.61%E -6.02%K -20.02%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -5.08%E -1.93%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 08:10
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.14%E -2.76%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.44%E -2.08%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 08:10
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -2.86%E -1.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -6.16%E -2.37%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 08:09
Marathon Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.68%EV -6.69%E -4.58%K -14.55%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.32%EV -7.61%E -2.97%K -4.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 08:09
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -2.86%E -1.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.97%E -3.12%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 08:10
TABtouch1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.33%E -5.06%K -16.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.97%E -3.12%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 08:10
Grosvenor1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -7.97%E -5.54%K -18.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -7.97%E -3.12%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 08:10
NetBet (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 65.12%EV -13.72%E -10.16%K -39.21%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 34.88%EV -9.05%E -3.59%K -5.95%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-14 08:09
Betr (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.22%E -1.45%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 08:10
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.14%E -2.76%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 08:10
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -4.78%E -3.20%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -9.77%E -3.91%K -6.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 08:10
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV +0.977%E +0.618%K +1.68%G +0.016%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -11.58%E -4.73%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-14 08:09
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.14%E -2.76%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -13.38%E -5.58%K -9.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 08:00
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-03-14 08:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 64.04%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96%0.7%2026-03-14 08:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 63.66%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.34%2.7%2026-03-14 08:10

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (2)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同,因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同,并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2选项 3利润率 ▲更新时间
NordicBet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%100.00I 1.00%NM 0.92%8.6%2026-03-14 08:10
Betsson1.48I 67.57%NM 62.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%100.00I 1.00%NM 0.92%8.6%2026-03-14 08:10